UNC vs. Duke: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

UNC vs. Duke: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

Carolina is 134-109 against Duke. The Devils are our most-played and most-lost-to opponent (State is a distant second with 77 wins), and our third most-beaten foe (Virginia and Clemson are tied for fourth at 131, so one or both of them is liable to overtake Duke before K retires.) One way to segment the series history is:

From       To         W    L    W%
1/24/1920  2/11/1928   17    2  89
 2/2/1929   2/4/1956   30   38  44
2/24/1956  2/27/1960   11    2  85
 3/4/1960   3/4/1966    4   12  25
 1/7/1967  12/2/1977   26    6  81
1/14/1978  2/29/1980    5    5  50
12/5/1980   3/3/1984    8    1  89
3/10/1984   2/3/1993   10   12  45
 3/7/1993   3/8/1998   10    2  83
1/27/1999   2/9/2005    2   15  12
 3/6/2005   3/8/2009    7    2  78
2/10/2010   2/9/2017    4   12  25
           Total      134  109  55

We’ll try to salvage a season split Saturday a little after 8:00. We’ll know a few hours before, when Notre Dame@Louisville concludes, whether we need to win to be outright ACC regular-season champs. Here are tempo-free stats for the teams, their opponents, and their rotation players.

Team stats per 70 possessions, with percentile rank among Division 1 teams:

Team    UNC          dook Opp            dook        UNC Opp      
Pace     73.2   85%                       70.0  43%               
OffEff  115.6   98%      97.8   78%      114.9  97%     95.3   89%
2P%      51.4   70%      48.1   59%       53.6  88%     46.5   79%
3P        7.0   41%       5.0  100%        8.5  79%      7.7   29%
3PA      18.9   29%      16.4   97%       22.5  72%     22.8   17%
3P%      37.0   75%      30.4   97%       37.6  82%     34.0   64%
eFG%     52.7   72%      47.4   83%       54.6  89%     48.3   76%
FT       14.9   64%      12.5   80%       16.5  88%     11.7   89%
FTA      21.4   68%      18.1   77%       21.9  74%     16.6   91%
FT%      69.8   47%      68.9   70%       75.2  91%     70.4   47%
P        80.9   98%      68.4   78%       80.4  97%     66.7   89%
OR       14.6  100%       9.6   62%       11.4  82%      8.5   92%
R        41.1  100%      33.1   83%       36.9  83%     28.9  100%
A        17.1   98%      11.5   86%       13.6  56%     11.3   90%
B         3.2   50%       2.5   91%        4.5  87%      4.3    4%
S         6.7   69%       4.7   97%        5.8  43%      5.9   56%
PF       16.7   87%      19.7   76%       18.0  65%     18.6   43%
TO       11.5   86%      12.4   35%       11.5  86%     13.1   52%

Some of the familiar rivalry storylines play out here. Both teams should score, with neither fouling or turning it over too much. We should win the boards and make them play one-on-one offense, but they’re good at such offense. Their shooters should go off while they smother ours. Obviously that last thing can’t happen, or else we have to do a much better job getting it inside and finishing than on Monday–or both would be nice.

Player stats, normalized to 35 games, 30 mpg at a 70 pace (two rows per player to fit on this page):

UNC Players       Ht    Wt    Class  G    MPG   2P%   eFG%                               
3P                3PA   3P%   FT     FTA  FT%   P     OR    R     A    B    S    PF   TO 
Justin Jackson    6-8    200  Jr      31  31.5  51.3  54.9                               
              87   222  39.3     78  103  75.8  16.9   1.3   4.4  2.4  0.2  0.5  1.2  1.5
Joel Berry        6-0    195  Jr      29  30.0  49.0  55.7                               
              82   199  40.9     86  104  83.1  14.2   0.4   3.2  3.7  0.1  1.3  2.1  1.9
Kennedy Meeks     6-10   260  Sr      31  23.9  54.2  54.0                               
               0     1   0.0     89  142  62.5  15.3   4.5  11.1  1.4  1.2  1.1  2.8  1.6
Kenny Williams    6-4    175  So      26  23.7  52.5  51.4                               
              44   131  33.8     31   49  63.3   7.6   1.6   4.1  2.6  0.4  1.1  1.9  1.4
Isaiah Hicks      6-9    235  Sr      30  23.1  58.8  58.8                               
               0     0   0.0    117  146  80.0  14.5   2.4   6.9  1.5  0.9  0.5  3.9  2.1
Theo Pinson       6-6    205  Jr      12  20.6  55.0  52.4                               
              29    90  31.8     70  103  68.0   9.6   1.8   6.4  4.7  0.1  1.2  2.5  1.2
Nate Britt        6-1    175  Sr      31  19.2  36.9  42.1                               
              34   104  32.8     34   51  66.7   6.9   0.4   2.8  3.6  0.1  1.7  2.6  1.5
Tony Bradley      6-10   235  Fr      29  15.1  56.4  56.4                               
               0     0   0.0    136  222  61.5  14.3   5.4  10.4  1.3  1.4  0.6  3.5  1.3
Luke Maye         6-8    230  So      26  13.8  47.8  50.0                               
              25    65  39.1     37   73  50.0  10.3   3.6   8.0  2.5  0.5  1.0  3.7  2.0
Seventh Woods     6-2    175  Fr      31   8.6  33.3  32.7                               
               8    38  20.0     88  149  59.0   6.4   0.7   5.4  4.8  0.2  2.0  2.5  4.1
Brandon Robinson  6-5    160  Fr      31   8.3  40.6  39.2                               
              27   110  25.0     71  106  66.7   7.3   1.3   4.6  2.7  0.3  1.0  2.7  1.5

dook Players     Ht    Wt    Class  G    MPG   2P%   eFG%                               
3P               3PA   3P%   FT     FTA  FT%   P     OR    R     A    B    S    PF   TO 
Luke Kennard     6-5    202  So      30  35.5  53.9  59.8                               
             74   162  45.4    125  147  84.5  16.9   1.0   4.4  2.2  0.3  0.7  2.0  1.4
Matt Jones       6-5    204  Sr      30  33.9  48.8  50.2                               
             46   134  34.1     15   22  66.7   6.8   1.1   2.7  1.8  0.2  1.4  2.2  1.1
Jayson Tatum     6-8    205  Fr      22  32.5  48.1  49.6                               
             48   135  35.2    125  143  87.5  15.0   1.4   6.8  2.1  1.2  1.2  2.5  2.5
Grayson Allen    6-5    202  Jr      27  30.8  45.5  49.3                               
             80   233  34.4    127  157  81.3  14.2   0.6   3.9  3.7  0.1  0.8  2.3  2.2
Amile Jefferson  6-9    224  Sr      28  29.3  61.9  61.9                               
              0     0   0.0     94  157  60.3  11.6   2.6   8.8  1.7  1.7  0.7  2.5  1.6
Frank Jackson    6-3    205  Fr      29  23.6  54.3  55.9                               
             62   161  38.5     81  102  78.8  13.2   1.0   3.0  2.3  0.1  0.7  3.0  1.6
Chase Jeter      6-10   230  So      16  14.9  50.0  50.0                               
              0     0   0.0     67  120  55.6   5.2   2.4   5.5  0.8  2.2  0.9  3.9  2.2
Harry Giles      6-10   220  Fr      19  11.9  56.7  56.7                               
              0     0   0.0     42   93  45.0  11.3   4.6  10.4  0.8  1.1  0.7  5.5  1.9
Marques Bolden   6-11   245  Fr      20   7.4  45.7  45.7                               
              0     0   0.0     36   57  62.5   7.6   3.0   5.4  0.4  1.4  0.4  5.9  2.0

The latest poster boy for Duke lovability, Allen, has had it rough since round 1, missing one of six games (and coming off the bench in the last one) and averaging 7 P, 2 R, 3 A, and less than half a stl on 21% 2P, 25% 3P, and 78% FT in 28 mpg in the other 5. I know Adrian would want me to keep this totally classy, but I couldn’t resist slipping the correct spelling of “Duke” in a couple of times and I can resist saying: it couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.

And Adrian has praised Jones as a consummate role player, but I still think we’re all lucky K never managed to make Jefferson-Giles-Tatum-Kennard-Allen work as his main lineup. Yeah, I know: too much like an actual basketball lineup for his taste.

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