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Tag: UNC team analysis

Carolina-Kentucky: Round 1 Recap

Carolina-Kentucky: Round 1 Recap

Due to life getting in the way, I haven’t had much time to blog recently. But here are some pieces I wrote following the first matchup: 1.) Defending Monk 2.) Defending Ball Screens (Fox) 3.) Transition D and Late-Game Execution There obviously no Kenny Williams this time around (who did the lion’s share of the work against Malik Monk in December). And, of course, Theo Pinson has returned to take Williams’ spot as the starting 2 (and likely assignment on…

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Wrapping Up the Duke Win

Wrapping Up the Duke Win

While most Carolina fans have probably moved past the Duke game and onto the ACC Tournament (or March Madness/bracketology concerns), I still have a few loose ends to tie up regarding that big win to conclude the regular season. So let’s start tying: Efficiency by Possession Length Let’s break the offensive efficiencies for Carolina and Duke down by length of possession: Like usual, Carolina was more prolific in the early offense. The Heels used 46% of their total possessions in…

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Closing Out a Championship

Closing Out a Championship

Throughout the season, we’ve spent countless words detailing Carolina’s late-game execution in crunch-time situations. Oftentimes this year (including the first Duke game), the Heels have been out-executed down the stretch. Even in some wins (like at Clemson), the Heels’ late play (and decision-making) left plenty to be desired. But Saturday night, on the season’s biggest stage, the UNC close-and-late performance was top-notch. And, sometimes, it’s less about execution and more about just stepping up and making winning plays. We’ll start…

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UNC-Duke: Game-Day Notes

UNC-Duke: Game-Day Notes

Hey! I’ve been knocked out most of the week with the flu (did watch a copious amount of old UNC-Duke games on ESPN Classic in between naps), so didn’t get a chance to do much posting. I’m feeling mostly better today, though, so thought I’d write up a few pre-game notes for tonight’s huge matchup. The earlier UNC-Duke this season had 67.5 possessions, moving Duke’s record against the Heels to 8-3 in the Roy Williams era in games with fewer…

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Pack-Line Problems

Pack-Line Problems

Tony Bennett’s pack-line defense has traditionally produced some of the best defenses in the country. Including his three-year stint at Washington State, Bennett’s teams have been in the top 25 in adjusted defensive efficiency nine times in his 11 seasons as a head coach. Six times Bennett has fielded a top-10 defense, including four top-5 defenses in the last six seasons. This year, the Cavaliers lead the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. So, suffice it to say, the way that Bennett…

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The Saturday Clipboard

The Saturday Clipboard

A few charting-related nuggets to pass along before the Carolina-Pitt game tips off at noon: First, let’s break down Carolina’s top scorers (Jackson and Berry) by their early offense vs. half-court offense splits. As seen, each player uses roughly half his weighted shots (FGAs + 0.475*FTAs) in each segment. Combined, Berry and Jackson score 16.6 points per game in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock, and 16.7 in seconds 11-30. Both players shoot 2-pointers better in the early…

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Better Defense or Luckier Defense?

Better Defense or Luckier Defense?

It’s been well-documented that Carolina’s defense has been playing much better recently. After dropping to the mid-40s in Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency rankings, the Heels have climbed all the way back to No. 20 with dominant back-to-back home performances against Virginia and Louisville. Narratives being what they are, you’ve surely heard plenty of buzz about Carolina’s defensive “effort” and “focus” being better over the past couple of games. But how much is due to actually playing better (or harder) defense…

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Facing Top Defenses in the Williams Era

Facing Top Defenses in the Williams Era

Despite allowing a startling 1.45 PPP (90 points on 62 possessions) in its last game against Virginia Tech (at home, no less!), Louisville remains fifth in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. Always stout defensively under Rick Pitino, the Cardinals have ranked in the top-5 in this metric for a staggering seven straight seasons (assuming they can hold on to it this year). So how has Carolina performed against top-10 defenses (based on Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency) in the 14-year…

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UNC’s Early Offense

UNC’s Early Offense

Yesterday, we looked at Carolina’s efficiency in the early offense (first 10 seconds of the shot clock) versus the half-court (seconds 11-30 of the clock). Against Virginia, true transition (i.e, primary break) opportunities are always at a premium, but that doesn’t mean that a team can’t create plenty of “early offense” chances against Tony Bennett’s team (through things like the secondary break, put-backs, and BLOBs/special situations). And, as seen in the piece from yesterday, the Heels have been more dominant…

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UNC vs. Virginia: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

UNC vs. Virginia: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

No big game can ever have too many previews, so… Here’s a look at tons of pace-adjusted stats for the teams and players that will collide tomorrow at 8:15 in the Dome of Dean. Specifically, the team stats (besides pace and offensive efficiency) are per 70 possessions. The team’s percentile rank among the 351 teams in D1 are also given. Team And Opponent Stats Stat    UNC          UVA Opp              UVA         UNC Opp       Pace     74.4   92%                        61.1   0%                OffEff  117.3   99%     89.4  99%         110.8  88%     96.5   80% 2P%      52.4   79%     44.1  92%          53.4  87%     47.1   70% 3P        6.9   40%      6.8  66%           7.6  60%      7.9   24% 3PA      18.7   26%     21.0  46%          19.6  36%     22.7   19% 3P%      37.1   74%     32.3  85%          38.9  90%     34.9   49% eFG%     53.4   78%     55.0  94%          55.0  90%     53.4   60% FT       15.5   74%     12.9  70%          11.2   5%     11.8   88% FTA      22.1   75%     18.8  67%          15.7   2%     16.5   92% FT%      70.1   53%     68.5  73%          71.5  62%     71.3   32% P        82.1   99%     62.6  99%          77.6  88%     67.5   80% OR       14.7  100%      7.8  99%          10.1  48%      8.6   90% R        41.1  100%     32.7  88%          37.3  87%     28.9  100%…

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