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History of the NCAA Titles Leaderboard

History of the NCAA Titles Leaderboard

Carolina is three wins from NCAA title #6, which would break the current tie with Indiana and a certain other Triangle school who does blue all wrong and put UNC alone in third place all-time behind UCLA and UK. The count through 2016: 11 UCLA (1964, 1965, 1967-1973, 1975, 1995) 8 UK (1948, 1949, 1951, 1958, 1978, 1996, 1998, 2012) 5 UNC (1957, 1982, 1993, 2005, 2009), Indiana (1940, 1953, 1976, 1981, 1987), Duke (1991, 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015) 4…

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Greatest Williams-Era Performances vs. Duke

Greatest Williams-Era Performances vs. Duke

Let’s count down the 10 greatest Williams-era individual performances against Duke. This obviously throws out a big chunk of pre-2003 Carolina history, so apologies for the recency bias. Apologies also to, among countless others, Phil Ford (34 on Senior Night in 1978), Larry Miller (32 on 13-of-14 shooting in the ’67 ACCT title game), Charles Scott (40 points on 17-of-23 shooting to fuel UNC’s come-from-behind ’69 ACCT title-clinching comeback win), Joe Forte (24/16/7 in 2001), and Antawn Jamison (35 points…

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Ellington ’09 vs. Jackson ’17

Ellington ’09 vs. Jackson ’17

Last week, I ran a piece conducting a statistical comparison between Ty Lawson in 2009 and Joel Berry in 2017. This time around, let’s compare an ’09 wing to a ’17 one: Wayne Ellington and Justin Jackson. Although one (Ellington) was primarily a SG and the other (Jackson) mainly a SF, there’s not much difference in those wing roles offensively in Roy Williams’ system (other than the side they generally start on in the secondary break or box sets). Like…

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Theo Pinson: All-Time Stat-Sheet Stuffer?

Theo Pinson: All-Time Stat-Sheet Stuffer?

Granted, he’s only played five games (and less than 100 minutes) in his junior campaign so far. But Theo Pinson is threatening to have the greatest stat-stuffing season in Carolina history (at least since 1979-80 when pace-adjusted data is available). In terms of pace-adjusted, per-40-minute stats, he’s currently averaging 13.1 points, 11.5 rebounds, 7.4 assists, and 2.5 steals. Only three other Tar Heels (including Derrick Phelps twice) have posted even 10-5-5-2 pace-adjusted, per-40 marks in those four categories (or substituting…

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Best-Passing Teams in Carolina History

Best-Passing Teams in Carolina History

A couple caveats here regarding my potentially misleading title: By “Carolina history,” I mean “Carolina history since the 1979-80 season”—the first year for which I have pace adjustments in my ACC dataset (I’m sure some earlier teams, notably the 1976-77 runners-up with Ford, Kuester, Davis, O’Koren, et al. would stake a claim to “best-passing team) When measuring “best-passing team,” I’m actually measuring “passing depth” Through 21 games, this year’s Carolina team has seven rotation players (defined as those playing at…

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Lawson ’09 vs. Berry ’17

Lawson ’09 vs. Berry ’17

Although Joel Berry’s been great this year, his season still pales in comparison to Ty Lawson’s sublime 2009 campaign—the G.O.A.T. point-guard statline in Carolina history (with apologies to a couple of Phil Ford seasons, Kenny Smith in ’87, Raymond Felton in ’05, etc.). He does stack up quite favorably to Lawson in some key categories, while falling well short in some others. Let’s break it down with a series of side-by-side comparisons for: I.) Shooting/Scoring; II.) Passing/Turnovers; III.) Defense; and…

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Jackson & Berry: Best-Shooting UNC Duo Ever?

Jackson & Berry: Best-Shooting UNC Duo Ever?

Justin Jackson and Joel Berry combined to make 6-of-11 3-pointers in the big home win over Florida State. That’s nothing new, though—that combo is shooting 41.5% (88-212) from behind the arc this season on a healthy 11.8 attempts per game (accounting for the two games that Berry missed). So how does that compare to the greatest Carolina 3-point shooting tandems of all-time? To answer that question, let’s use Points Above Replacement Shooter (PARS), a metric that combines shooting efficiency and…

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The Best (and Worst) UNC Performances vs. Wake Forest

The Best (and Worst) UNC Performances vs. Wake Forest

Similar to this piece on NC State, let’s take a look back at the Carolina-Wake rivalry since Roy Williams has been back in town. While the Heels have certainly gotten the better of the Deacs during the Williams era, it hasn’t been nearly as one-sided as the series with the Wolfpack. UNC is 12-5 against Wake Forest under Williams, and they’ve exceeded their expectations (based on the difference in seasonal KenPom efficiency margins between the teams) in eight of those…

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Justin Jackson’s Development as a Shooter

Justin Jackson’s Development as a Shooter

After making just 1.17 3-pointers / 40 minutes at a rate of 29.7% through his first two collegiate campaigns, Justin Jackson has improved those numbers to 3.17 and 38.7% after 17 games of his junior season. Both his 3-point volume (per-40) and efficiency have significantly increased season-over-season—a testament to the feedback he received from NBA scouts, and the hard work he put in all summer. But just how rare is it for a Tar Heel to make the type of…

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Slow ACC Start? Nobody Panic!

Slow ACC Start? Nobody Panic!

Confession time: I started researching/writing this piece over the weekend before Carolina’s historic 51-point drubbing of NC State. Its thesis seemed much more relevant at that time. The data’s still interesting (although it just confirms conventional wisdom, rather than debunking it), though, so let’s proceed as if the Heels are still off to a “slow” start. Obviously Carolina’s ACC opener against Georgia Tech was less than ideal. As I wrote here, it was (at the time) the sixth-worst loss of the…

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