Jackson Makes His Case

Jackson Makes His Case

With Pitt riding some Senior Day emotion, the first 17 minutes of Saturday afternoon’s game were back-and-forth with neither team possessing more than a six-point lead. After Michael Young hit a 3-pointer following a Cameron Johnson pin-down screen (Luke Maye’s navigation of the screen was poor; he was obviously out of his defensive comfort zone here), the Panthers cut the Carolina lead to two at 30-28. Over the three minutes that remained before the halftime break, however, Justin Jackson stated…

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Pinson’s Passing

Pinson’s Passing

Those of you who like alliterative titles have come to the right place (“Pinson’s Pinpoint Passing Paralyzes Pitt”?)! While the story of the gameĀ (along with another monster scoring performance from Justin Jackson) was probably Carolina’s second-chance points (led by Kennedy Meeks’ offensive glass dominance), let’s focus on the passing of Theo Pinson. He was officially created with seven assists in 24 minutes, but even that doesn’t truly do justice to how well he passed the ball on Saturday. Let’s break…

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The Primary Break: UNC-Pitt Quick Takes

The Primary Break: UNC-Pitt Quick Takes

Here are some quick statistical nuggets following Carolina’s 85-67 win over Pitt. After a really slow 27.5-possession first half, the Heels picked up the pace in the second half with 37 possessions. UNC’s defense was consistent half-over-half, allowing exactly a point per possession in each stanza. Carolina’s offense was also strong throughout, scoring 1.48 PPP in the first and 1.22 PPP in the second. The Heels allowed 17 points in their first 10 defensive possessions (as Pitt rode some senior-day…

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The Saturday Clipboard

The Saturday Clipboard

A few charting-related nuggets to pass along before the Carolina-Pitt game tips off at noon: First, let’s break down Carolina’s top scorers (Jackson and Berry) by their early offense vs. half-court offense splits. As seen, each player uses roughly half his weighted shots (FGAs + 0.475*FTAs) in each segment. Combined, Berry and Jackson score 16.6 points per game in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock, and 16.7 in seconds 11-30. Both players shoot 2-pointers better in the early…

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Better Defense or Luckier Defense?

Better Defense or Luckier Defense?

It’s been well-documented that Carolina’s defense has been playing much better recently. After dropping to the mid-40s in Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency rankings, the Heels have climbed all the way back to No. 20 with dominant back-to-back home performances against Virginia and Louisville. Narratives being what they are, you’ve surely heard plenty of buzz about Carolina’s defensive “effort” and “focus” being better over the past couple of games. But how much is due to actually playing better (or harder) defense…

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UNC Vs. Pittsburgh: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

UNC Vs. Pittsburgh: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

Carolina is 11-3 against Pitt. The Panthers handed UNC its first-ever NCAA Tournament loss (in its first-ever NCAAT game, in only the third-ever NCAAT) in 1941. The Heels returned the favor on their way to the 1981 title game. We beat them each season from ’94-’97, then didn’t see them again until they joined the ACC. Roy’s boys will try and make it an even dozen wins Saturday at noon. Here are tempo-free stats for the teams, their opponents, and…

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The Primary Break: UNC-Louisville Quick Takes

The Primary Break: UNC-Louisville Quick Takes

Some (semi-)quick takes on Carolina’s 74-63 win over Louisville on Wednesday night. I’ll be finishing the charting for this one soon, so will be break with a more detailed breakdown of the victory. Justin Jackson’s ACC scoring remains incredibly consistent. He scored 21 last night, and has now tallied between 18 and 22 points in 11 of the 15 conference games. His game-by-game ACC output is: 16, 18, 21, 19, 22, 19, 22, 26, 21, 20, 16, 21, 14, 20,…

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Facing Top Defenses in the Williams Era

Facing Top Defenses in the Williams Era

Despite allowing a startling 1.45 PPP (90 points on 62 possessions) in its last game against Virginia Tech (at home, no less!), Louisville remains fifth in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. Always stout defensively under Rick Pitino, the Cardinals have ranked in the top-5 in this metric for a staggering seven straight seasons (assuming they can hold on to it this year). So how has Carolina performed against top-10 defenses (based on Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency) in the 14-year…

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UNC vs. Louisville: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

UNC vs. Louisville: Tempo-Free Season Box Scores

It’s a little surprising sometimes how seldom big-time programs have played each other. Carolina is 11-5 vs. Louisville, including 3-1 in the NCAA Tournament and 1-0 in the ACC Tournament. UNC lost the first meeting in 1929, then went 11-3 from 1972 until that ACCT meeting two years ago, before dropping the game last year. Round 17 is Wednesday at 9:00 in Chapel Hill. Here’s a look at the tempo-free stats of the teams, their opponents, and their rotation players….

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Justin Jackson’s Historic 3-Point Improvement

Justin Jackson’s Historic 3-Point Improvement

After making just 29.2% of his 120 3-pointer as a sophomore, Justin Jackson has improved to 39.4% on 178 attempts as a junior. That increase of 10.2 percentage points is obviously a healthy one. But where does it rank in ACC history among season-over-season improvements? The only caveat here is that a player must have at least 100 3-point attempts in each season to qualify for this list (to prevent cases like Donald Williams’ freshman-to-sophomore improvement in which he went…

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