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Month: January 2017

The Primary Break: UNC-Pitt Quick Takes

The Primary Break: UNC-Pitt Quick Takes

A few quick statistical nuggets following Tuesday night’s Carolina-Pitt game: With 58.5, this was only the sixth game of the Roy Williams era with fewer than 60 possessions. The Heels are now 6-0 in those contests: UNC-Notre Dame—3-27-16 (NCAA Tournament): 88-74 in 57 possessions UNC-Boston College—2-19-11: 48-46 in 58 possessions UNC-Virginia—3-12-16 (ACC Tournament): 61-57 in 58 possessions UNC-Pittsburgh—1-31-17: 80-78 in 58.5 possessions UNC-Miami—2-12-06: 80-70 in 59 possessions UNC-Boston College—3-10-07 (ACC Tournament): 71-56 in 59 possessions The Heels are 3-3 in…

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Carolina’s Best Defensive Performances

Carolina’s Best Defensive Performances

Let’s break down a few of Carolina’s best (and worst) defensive performances 0f the 2016-17 season—both from a team and individual perspective. At the team level, we’ll compare UNC’s single-game defensive efficiency to its opponent’s seasonal adjusted offensive efficiency (per KenPom.com). The single-game numbers for Heels aren’t adjusted for venue (but should be in a proper analysis—I got a little quick and dirty here). For the sake of this piece, a positive differential means that Carolina held an opponent to…

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Moses Malone-ing It

Moses Malone-ing It

Note: this post originally appeared at Carolina Data Desk, a data journalism initiative in the UNC Center for Innovation and Sustainability in Local Media. In a recent interview, North Carolina basketball coach Roy Williams remarked that this year’s team is “Moses Malone-ing it” on the offensive glass, suggesting that maybe the team’s offensive rebounding statistics are somewhat inflated by offensive rebounds coming off of missed easy layups. From my own experience watching games this season, this seems like a plausible phenomenon, with…

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Rock You Like a Hurricane

Rock You Like a Hurricane

After a quick 11-2 start on the road, things were looking good early on for Roy Williams’ Tar Heels. But following a Jim Larranaga timeout at the 16:37 mark of the first half (after Justin Jackson’s transition finish extended UNC’s lead to nine), and Miami’s subsequent switch to a 2-3 zone, Saturday’s game turned quickly and dramatically. Let’s take a look at the first several possessions after that timeout, and see how Hurricanes were able to completely take the game…

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Carolina’s 3-Point Barrage

Carolina’s 3-Point Barrage

The Heels had season-highs in both made (14) and attempted (30) 3s on Thursday night against Virginia Tech, as the perimeter explosion fueled a PPP of 1.42—another season-best. Let’s give a quick rundown of those 30 attempts: By location: Left corner: 1-3 (Berry: 0-0, Jackson: 0-1, Others: 1-2) Left wing: 6-11 (Berry: 1-3, Jackson: 3-6, Others: 2-2) Top of key: 4-7 (Berry: 2-4, Jackson: 1-1, Others: 1-2) Right wing: 2-7 (Berry: 2-3, Jackson: 0-3, Others: 0-1) Right corner: 1-2 (Berry:…

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The Primary Break: UNC-VT Quick Takes

The Primary Break: UNC-VT Quick Takes

Here are some quick statistical nuggets from Thursday night’s 91-72 victory over Virginia Tech. I’ll be back with a more thorough breakdown after I have a chance to chart this one. Both UNC’s 14 made 3s and 30 attempted 3s were season highs, topping the 12 and 27 against NC State. Carolina shot 19 first-half 3s, more than it’s shot in 10 full games this year (and almost as many as its average of 19.5 entering the game). Justin Jackson…

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Ellington ’09 vs. Jackson ’17

Ellington ’09 vs. Jackson ’17

Last week, I ran a piece conducting a statistical comparison between Ty Lawson in 2009 and Joel Berry in 2017. This time around, let’s compare an ’09 wing to a ’17 one: Wayne Ellington and Justin Jackson. Although one (Ellington) was primarily a SG and the other (Jackson) mainly a SF, there’s not much difference in those wing roles offensively in Roy Williams’ system (other than the side they generally start on in the secondary break or box sets). Like…

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Theo Pinson: All-Time Stat-Sheet Stuffer?

Theo Pinson: All-Time Stat-Sheet Stuffer?

Granted, he’s only played five games (and less than 100 minutes) in his junior campaign so far. But Theo Pinson is threatening to have the greatest stat-stuffing season in Carolina history (at least since 1979-80 when pace-adjusted data is available). In terms of pace-adjusted, per-40-minute stats, he’s currently averaging 13.1 points, 11.5 rebounds, 7.4 assists, and 2.5 steals. Only three other Tar Heels (including Derrick Phelps twice) have posted even 10-5-5-2 pace-adjusted, per-40 marks in those four categories (or substituting…

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Best-Passing Teams in Carolina History

Best-Passing Teams in Carolina History

A couple caveats here regarding my potentially misleading title: By “Carolina history,” I mean “Carolina history since the 1979-80 season”—the first year for which I have pace adjustments in my ACC dataset (I’m sure some earlier teams, notably the 1976-77 runners-up with Ford, Kuester, Davis, O’Koren, et al. would stake a claim to “best-passing team) When measuring “best-passing team,” I’m actually measuring “passing depth” Through 21 games, this year’s Carolina team has seven rotation players (defined as those playing at…

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